---
title: "Circle C Ranch TX Real Estate Market Report — 78739 Stats"
description: "Circle C Ranch (78739) market data — median price, days on market, inventory, and analysis for the Bowie HS / Gorzycki / Kiker corridor of southwest Austin."
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Jennifer Ferrara · Nook Realty 

[(512) 994-8080](tel:+15129948080)[jennifer@nookrealtygroup.com](mailto:jennifer@nookrealtygroup.com)

[![Nook Realty](/__l5e/assets-v1/24645bf3-cdb3-45d9-8e57-54ec23dcea4c/nook-logo-real.png)](/)

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Updated May 2026 

# CIRCLE C RANCH MARKET REPORT

Circle C Ranch — Austin's largest master-planned community in 78739, roughly 12 miles south of downtown — anchors southwest Austin's Bowie High School pipeline. The community pairs Austin ISD schools (Kiker and Clayton elementaries, Gorzycki Middle, Bowie HS) with the Veloway, the Circle C Swim Center, and Grey Rock Golf Club. Current data (Redfin neighborhood pull, Realtor.com 78739) shows a still-tight seller's market with median price up year over year and inventory loosening modestly.

## THE CURRENT MARKET BY THE NUMBERS

May 2026 data, Circle C Ranch neighborhood (Redfin) plus 78739 ZIP-level counts (Realtor.com). Year-over-year changes reflect Redfin's neighborhood index.

Metric

May 2026

YoY / Direction

Median Sale Price (Circle C Ranch)

$855,000

▲ 24.8% YoY 

Median Price / Sq Ft

$306

▲ 5.0% YoY 

Active Listings (78739)

73

▲ Inventory loosening 

Pending Sales (78739)

26

▲ Steady absorption 

Months of Inventory

~2.8

▼ Tight — seller's market 

30-Yr Fixed Mortgage Rate

6.23%

▼ 0.58% 

### PRICES UP — DRIVEN BY MIX

Redfin's Circle C Ranch median sale price is roughly $855,000, up 24.8% year over year, with median price per square foot at $306 (+5.0% YoY). The headline number is skewed by mix — closings in Avana, Grey Rock, and Muirfield trade higher than the original Circle C sections, and a heavier weighting of those sales pulls the median up. On a per-foot basis the real appreciation is closer to 5%.

### DAYS ON MARKET — LONGER, NOT LONG

Median days on market across the corridor sits in the 30–40 range for the core tiers and stretches to 55+ in the $1M+ segment. The 2021 "list Friday, multiples by Sunday" pattern is gone, but well-prepared homes priced to current comps still go under contract inside their first 30 days. Sellers who anchor to 2022 peaks sit.

### INVENTORY: STILL A SELLER'S MARKET

78739 carries roughly 73 active listings against 26 pending sales (Realtor.com, May 2026) — an active-to-pending ratio that puts the ZIP firmly in seller's-market territory. That said, inventory has expanded versus the trough of 2022, so buyers finally have measurable selection, especially in the $850K–$1.1M Avana / Grey Rock tier and on dated resale homes inside the original Circle C sections.

> "Circle C's structural demand — Austin ISD's Bowie pipeline, the Veloway, and Grey Rock — keeps inventory absorbing even as the rest of the Austin metro normalizes."
> 
> — Corridor agent commentary, May 2026

## WHY CIRCLE C REMAINS STRONG

### AUSTIN ISD BOWIE PIPELINE

Circle C feeds into Kiker or Clayton Elementary, Gorzycki Middle School, and Bowie High School — one of Austin ISD's strongest vertical teams. The zoning is the single biggest demand driver in the corridor.

### SW AUSTIN EMPLOYERS

Apple's $1B SW Austin campus on Parmer is roughly 18 minutes via MoPac. Tesla Gigafactory, Oracle's Lady Bird Lake campus, and the Domain are all reachable inside 30–35 minutes off-peak.

### AMENITIES & LAND

375+ acres of parkland, the Veloway cycling loop, the Circle C Swim Center, and Grey Rock Golf Club sit inside the community. Build out is essentially complete — land scarcity supports the per-foot floor.

## STRATEGIC ADVICE FOR 2026

### FOR BUYERS

-   **Negotiate on terms.** With DOM in the 30–60 day range and ~2.8 months of inventory, qualified buyers have real leverage. Ask for closing-cost credits, repairs, and rate buy-downs.
    
-   **Watch the rate.** The 30-year is hovering near 6.2%. Even a quarter-point move materially changes payment math on a $850K Avana purchase.
    

### FOR SELLERS

-   **Price to the last 30 days.** Anchor to recent Circle C closings, not 2022 peaks. Mix-shifted neighborhood medians are misleading — comp to your specific section.
    
-   **Prep the house.** Move-in-ready Circle C inventory still trades inside 30 days. Dated finishes and deferred maintenance now cost real money — buyers are inspecting, not waiving.
    

## THE BOTTOM LINE

Circle C Ranch in May 2026 is a still-tight seller's market with measurably more selection than 2022. Neighborhood median is $855K (Redfin), per-foot up roughly 5% YoY, with 78739 inventory at ~2.8 months. The Austin ISD Bowie pipeline plus the Apple / Oracle / Tesla employment base continue to underwrite long-term demand. The right strategy on both sides is data-driven and patient — but the fundamentals remain among the strongest in the Austin metro.

[Talk to a Circle C Specialist](/contact)

Sources: Redfin (Circle C Ranch neighborhood index), Realtor.com (78739 ZIP-level counts), ACTRIS MLS. Data deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Updated May 2026. Jennifer Ferrara, Sprout Realty, ERA Powered. Texas License #0736797.

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Nook Realty is powered by Sprout Realty, ERA Powered — Broker Cody Cooper. Serving Circle C Ranch, SW Austin, and the greater Austin metro.

Jennifer Ferrara · TX License #0736797

Contact

Jennifer Ferrara

Founder · Circle C Ranch Specialist

[(512) 994-8080](tel:+15129948080)[jennifer@nookrealtygroup.com](mailto:jennifer@nookrealtygroup.com)

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