Circle C Ranch — Austin's largest master-planned community in 78739, roughly 12 miles south of downtown — anchors southwest Austin's Bowie High School pipeline. The community pairs Austin ISD schools (Kiker and Clayton elementaries, Gorzycki Middle, Bowie HS) with the Veloway, the Circle C Swim Center, and Grey Rock Golf Club. Current data (Redfin neighborhood pull, Realtor.com 78739) shows a still-tight seller's market with median price up year over year and inventory loosening modestly.
May 2026 data, Circle C Ranch neighborhood (Redfin) plus 78739 ZIP-level counts (Realtor.com). Year-over-year changes reflect Redfin's neighborhood index.
| Metric | May 2026 | YoY / Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price (Circle C Ranch) | $855,000 | ▲ 24.8% YoY |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $306 | ▲ 5.0% YoY |
| Active Listings (78739) | 73 | ▲ Inventory loosening |
| Pending Sales (78739) | 26 | ▲ Steady absorption |
| Months of Inventory | ~2.8 | ▼ Tight — seller's market |
| 30-Yr Fixed Mortgage Rate | 6.23% | ▼ 0.58% |
Redfin's Circle C Ranch median sale price is roughly $855,000, up 24.8% year over year, with median price per square foot at $306 (+5.0% YoY). The headline number is skewed by mix — closings in Avana, Grey Rock, and Muirfield trade higher than the original Circle C sections, and a heavier weighting of those sales pulls the median up. On a per-foot basis the real appreciation is closer to 5%.
Median days on market across the corridor sits in the 30–40 range for the core tiers and stretches to 55+ in the $1M+ segment. The 2021 "list Friday, multiples by Sunday" pattern is gone, but well-prepared homes priced to current comps still go under contract inside their first 30 days. Sellers who anchor to 2022 peaks sit.
78739 carries roughly 73 active listings against 26 pending sales (Realtor.com, May 2026) — an active-to-pending ratio that puts the ZIP firmly in seller's-market territory. That said, inventory has expanded versus the trough of 2022, so buyers finally have measurable selection, especially in the $850K–$1.1M Avana / Grey Rock tier and on dated resale homes inside the original Circle C sections.
"Circle C's structural demand — Austin ISD's Bowie pipeline, the Veloway, and Grey Rock — keeps inventory absorbing even as the rest of the Austin metro normalizes."
— Corridor agent commentary, May 2026
Circle C feeds into Kiker or Clayton Elementary, Gorzycki Middle School, and Bowie High School — one of Austin ISD's strongest vertical teams. The zoning is the single biggest demand driver in the corridor.
Apple's $1B SW Austin campus on Parmer is roughly 18 minutes via MoPac. Tesla Gigafactory, Oracle's Lady Bird Lake campus, and the Domain are all reachable inside 30–35 minutes off-peak.
375+ acres of parkland, the Veloway cycling loop, the Circle C Swim Center, and Grey Rock Golf Club sit inside the community. Build out is essentially complete — land scarcity supports the per-foot floor.
Negotiate on terms. With DOM in the 30–60 day range and ~2.8 months of inventory, qualified buyers have real leverage. Ask for closing-cost credits, repairs, and rate buy-downs.
Watch the rate. The 30-year is hovering near 6.2%. Even a quarter-point move materially changes payment math on a $850K Avana purchase.
Price to the last 30 days. Anchor to recent Circle C closings, not 2022 peaks. Mix-shifted neighborhood medians are misleading — comp to your specific section.
Prep the house. Move-in-ready Circle C inventory still trades inside 30 days. Dated finishes and deferred maintenance now cost real money — buyers are inspecting, not waiving.
Circle C Ranch in May 2026 is a still-tight seller's market with measurably more selection than 2022. Neighborhood median is $855K (Redfin), per-foot up roughly 5% YoY, with 78739 inventory at ~2.8 months. The Austin ISD Bowie pipeline plus the Apple / Oracle / Tesla employment base continue to underwrite long-term demand. The right strategy on both sides is data-driven and patient — but the fundamentals remain among the strongest in the Austin metro.
Talk to a Circle C SpecialistSources: Redfin (Circle C Ranch neighborhood index), Realtor.com (78739 ZIP-level counts), ACTRIS MLS. Data deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Updated May 2026. Jennifer Ferrara, Sprout Realty, ERA Powered. Texas License #0736797.